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Worth adding on Kioxia/Sandisk: that $31bn is conditional, and the release says so in its own first sentence — “anticipated significant investments in Japan, totaling over $31 billion (approximately 5 trillion yen) contingent upon government support.”

In Iwate itself, what has begun is site preparation. The construction schedule and the equipment investment are both listed as undecided.

Four years ago, announcing the building next door on the same site, Kioxia wrote the opposite: 「今回の建設投資は営業キャッシュフローの範囲内で行う計画です」 — within the range of operating cash flow.

Wrote it up this morning: https://nishijp.substack.com/p/kioxias-new-fab-depends-on-government?r=88jslp

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